Oct 20 2007

Westpoll: Liberals lead in Perth marginals

Published by William Bowe at 2:16 pm under Federal Election 2007

A very encouraging result for the government from Westpoll in today’s West Australian, which has the Liberals holding firm in their Perth marginals of Stirling and Hasluck and set to win Cowan from Labor with a 5 per cent swing. The poll was conducted between Monday and Thursday with samples of a little over 400 for each seat. This is the second electorate-level poll Westpoll has conducted, and both have shown the Liberals travelling much better in these three seats than Westpoll’s regular statewide polling would suggest. If the overall 3 per cent swing indicated in today’s poll was replicated statewide, the two-party split in Western Australia would be at least 58-42 in favour of the Liberals. The last two statewide surveys showed Labor leads of 51.6-48.4 early last month and 53-47 early this month.

293 Responses to “Westpoll: Liberals lead in Perth marginals”

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  1. 201
    Alex McDonnel Says:

    PJK - hear, hear re Beazley Snr - a good bloke. I remember him from the 70s.

  2. 202
    Rx Says:

    Howard’s senior moment today where he addressed “Mr Speaker” when he was not even in parliament follows his gaffe last week when he got the current interest rate wrong. Last week he also used the wrong Christian name for his candidate in Rudd’s seat.

    The gaffes are coming quick and fast, a rate uncharacteristic for him. Will he interesting to see how he goes as the pressure intensifies and Rudd continues playing with his mind. He is not as young as he used to be. And there is more riding on this election for him (Howie) than there is for Rudd (legacy, the future of the Liberal Party, the future of WorkChoices, Bennelong). How will he handle one or two ominous opinion polls or an interest rate rise, for example?

    There is a possibility he might drop the ball in a big way.

  3. 203
    Glen Says:

    Labor’s policy machine

    classic youtube moment….
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1KArfZ6nC1M

  4. 204
    Fulvio Sammut Says:

    Glen is having a Libpest moment…

  5. 205
    Keats Says:

    203 Glen - There you Liberals go again, running an American style negative scare campaign. Australians want to hear about the future, t’s why Labor is committing $3 billion to education rebates to help Australia become the Clever Nation.

  6. 206
    nath Says:

    glen, you should remember the vic liberals (remember them) when you mention shattered dreams.

  7. 207
    John Ryan Says:

    Rx, good point.

    If this is how H*ward performs out on the hustings after a “good” week with all the alleged momentum, how will he go when he has a bad week?

    His long campaign choice may end up backfiring, instead of wearing Rudd down and him making a gaffe, it’s looking more likely H*ward will be the one who gets run down and makes a bigger gaffe.

  8. 208
    Keats Says:

    On a serious note, I actually thought Glen might have been a bit clever digging that ad up, turns out he just went to his browser’s home page (Liberal party site). Very good man. Fantastic. Really adding to the conversation on this site.

  9. 209
    Glen Says:

    The only people who shattered them were those independents Labor didnt win that election the Independents won it for em…

    Keats it isnt a scare campaign to tell the truth Labor just copied 91.5% of our policy and stuck on some education stuff on the end of it to look different they didnt have a policy they stole ours because ours was great…where will the ALP be if the Coalition wasnt there writing up their policies…lol.

  10. 210
    Keats Says:

    Stole the policy?? Get real. You don’t have a copyright on numbers. A tax cut’s a tax cut brother.
    You need to explain why you’re not willing to invest in education and health. That’s what Australians care about, not whether they get $5 extra a week.

  11. 211
    Frank Calabrese Says:

    [Keats it isnt a scare campaign to tell the truth Labor just copied 91.5% of our policy]

    Glen, thnat could also apply to the Lib’s Broadband Policy as well :-)

  12. 212
    Glen Says:

    Actually no because Frank we didnt say we’d steal 2.5b from the Future Fund we aren’t irresponsible fiscal managers like the ALP…

  13. 213
    Keats Says:

    Come on Glen, Howard didn’t know what broadband even was until Labor told him. He thinks it all still works with tincan and string.

  14. 214
    nath Says:

    well they sure won in 2002 and 2006. What is the joke in Victoria?
    That the next liberal Premier of Victoria is currently at Geelong Grammar or something. classic.

  15. 215
    Keats Says:

    Still waiting for your justification on why the $3 billion education taxcut isn’t needed?

  16. 216
    Frank Calabrese Says:

    [Howard didn’t know what broadband even was until Labor told him. He thinks it all still works with tincan and string.]

    If Howard had his way, we’d be stuck with dialup running at 2400 baud.

  17. 217
    Glen Says:

    I never said it wasnt needed im saying that there are other ways to spend money on education/health without doing it through a tax cut…you can have separate policies on health and education that will be better than what Labor is offering…and by the way how crap did Rudd’s laptop look i had one in 1995 it was made in the stone age and yet you bag Howard over broadband get a life!

  18. 218
    bryce Says:

    Wow, how about - I’ll give you a throwoff, top of the head, to your question then change the subject.
    Pathetic.

  19. 219
    Frank Calabrese Says:

    Oh and Glen, your heroand Namesake Glenn Milne is impressed by Rudd this week :-)

    http://www.news.com.au/perthnow/story/0,21598,22620554-5005374,00.html

  20. 220
    Edward StJohn Says:

    What is it with this obsession about minutiae ?

    I thought it was silly when the Liberals attacked KR over not being able to recall the tax rates and I think it is the same with Labor attacking JWH over slips of the tongue and the like.

    If you really think this has any impact on an election then you’re just silly.

  21. 221
    Glen Says:

    Ha and yet you bag him as a biased Tory at every opportunity and yet he comes out supporting Krudd go figure?

  22. 222
    the munz of mosman Says:

    Of all the photo opps we see of JWH why not one, a single one, of him showing any affinity with the online age? I doubt he has a personal email account that is not managed by a “minder”.

  23. 223
    William Bowe Says:

    Speaking of the Sudanese in Stirling, here’s a Channel Ten news report on them which I posted on YouTube. I was going to put it up on this site but I decided it wasn’t interesting enough.

  24. 224
    steve Says:

    The Liberals would steal the eye out of a needle if Labor let them.

    http://petermartin.blogspot.com/2007/10/spendometer-week-one.html

  25. 225
    Edward StJohn Says:

    I wonder how many people here now are aware Glen Milne was once a staffer for John Button.

  26. 226
    Edward StJohn Says:

    William,

    Do you know what happened to Paul Filing after he was defeated?

  27. 227
    steve Says:

    225 Well Costello and Nelson were more Labor oriented until they lost their way, so what?

  28. 228
    PJK for President Says:

    to brush up on your politics young staffer

    Think is, Glen, you have absolutely no idea about my age or occupation. It would be an odd statement for a young staffer to say that Kim Beazley made it possible for him or her to go to university. Pretty dumb, really.

    Brand is a marginal seat im…

    Well, let’s see what Anthony Green says on the ABC site…
    “though the seat remains with a relatively safe margin on the Labor side of the pendulum.” I bet you wish all your marginals were on 4.7%….

  29. 229
    S Says:

    @222

    I can’t even comprehend the image of John Howard operating a computer!

  30. 230
    Edward StJohn Says:

    227 Steve, because there are shades of grey in most things not necessarily black and white.

  31. 231
    Kit Says:

    Glen, some more youtube for you

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DRDDDCvGifg&NR=1

  32. 232
    steve Says:

    The black and white of the young $weetie is here ESJ.

    http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/4/41/Youngcostello.png

  33. 233
    Frank Calabrese Says:

    Kit,

    THat is perfect - I hope the creator gives this to the ALP to use :-)

  34. 234
    Rx Says:

    “The internet, that’s one of those things you put over the bed to keep mosquitoes out, isn’t it”: ~Howard

  35. 235
    William Bowe Says:

    Can’t say that I do, ESJ. Your question piqued my interest so I did a search on him in Factiva. In 2006 he ran for mayor of Joondalup and finished third in a very even four-way race. I assume you are aware that he joined One Nation in 2001 in the hope of being their Senate candidate. Beyond that, I learned only that he “started a business”.

  36. 236
    S Says:

    kit

    I liked that!

  37. 237
    Alex McDonnel Says:

    Glen - re the tax cuts, Costello, being a smart arse, stated on Wed that Labor should follow the Libs tax cuts. So they did! Yesteday, Costello is on TV whinging about Labor stealing 91.5% of the Libs tax policy. He looked rather silly in front of the media.

  38. 238
    Glen Says:

    Kit see they even copy our youtube ads now how lame can Labor get!

  39. 239
    Frank Calabrese Says:

    [Kit see they even copy our youtube ads now how lame can Labor get!]

    Umm, it’s an INDIVDUAL who has done the response - if it was an offical ALP ad there would be an authorisation tag at the end which this one doesn’t.

    Use that thing between your ears before you post.

  40. 240
    steve Says:

    238 Thought you’d be used to it by now Glen. It will only happen till November the 24th and after that I have been assured no more copying.

  41. 241
    Glen Says:

    It is even more sad that some Labor staffer has spent hours copying our youtube videos can’t Labor come up with anything original!

  42. 242
    Darn Says:

    “I agree that W.A. will be irrelevant on the night. 4.9% swing in NSW and 3% or less everywhere else gets the ALP across the line and into government. NSW is the one to watch as even large swings in other states wont do it unless NSW swings above 4. (I think from playing with the ABC’s calculator)”.

    Interesting theory Imacca (185) What is the current swing in NSW?

  43. 243
    Kina Says:

    I think swinging voters changes sides based on engagement with political issues. The rusted on voter, the vast majority, never changes sides because they have chosen it the way they chose their football side, they grew into it sub-conciously.Thus how bad their team has been is irrelevant to them - they are always rationalising their choice when the news or image is bad. And this explains the level of support the LNP have.

    If we had ALL people choosing sides based on a real understanding of the issues then we would get results like 80/20, 70/30. Instead it’s always around 50/50, like tossing a coin, except those few percentage of swingers, thinkers.

    An ominous occurrence this year for Howard is the anecdotal evidence that some rusted on Liberals (never voted Labor) are deciding to change sides. The ‘it is time for a change’ feeling is coming into it. I think it would be hard to change this feeling when both sides will cancel out each other’s noise. Or when Rudd presents himself particularly well.

    The remaining battle is not only on the technical qualities of policies, that is for the swingers like me and many others here, it is all about presenting the neccessary images to keep those from the ‘rusted ons’.

  44. 244
    Edward StJohn Says:

    Kina I am a swinger too!

  45. 245
    steve Says:

    244 What, golf on Fridays at the country club?

  46. 246
    Paul C Says:

    If the Labor tax cut had been an extra few billion would Costello have claimed they stole 105% of his policy?

  47. 247
    imacca Says:

    Swing to the ALP in NSW at the moment is 9.6% from the last Newspoll Quarterly Series.

  48. 248
    Nostradamus Says:

    That’s in the quarter BEFORE the election was called. The swing now is probably negligible.

  49. 249
    Edward StJohn Says:

    Well imacca if you believe Galaxy (and assuming swings are uniform) then this swing has now come down to 5.4%. Another 1.5% and the election is over for Labor.

  50. 250
    steve Says:

    [The swing now is probably negligible.]

    We’ve still got swingers like ESJ who might want to get with the strength and back a winner for once, Nostrils.

  51. 251
    Darn Says:

    imacca (247) Thanks for that.

    Is the 9.6% figure based on this week’s polls?

    Also, does anyone know what the current swing is in Victoria?

  52. 252
    imacca Says:

    Weel, there was that Sun Herald/Taverner poll of 979 people in Sydney and Melbourne showing an ALP lead of 59/41.

    You know, some people like EStJ, Glen, Nostro, and the like are going to be a little upset if the last Galaxy turns out ot be an outlier.

    But, the only really relevant reply to them is;

    ALP primary vote Sampled after the Election called, 48%. Har Har!!

  53. 253
    Edward StJohn Says:

    imacca you have already been identified as a concern troll.

  54. 254
    Darn Says:

    Sorry imacca, just noticed you have already answered my question (251).

    I think I should have asked instead how much you think this week’s correction in the polls would have affected the 9.6% figure.

  55. 255
    Lose the election please Says:

    There’s no reason to believe the polls won’t improve for Labor over the campaign, even if only fractionally. The only other campaign of this length was in 1984, when the Liberal Opposition really turned things around to give the Labor Government a scare.

    I’m not saying this is what’s going to happen, just to complete unpredictability of an election campaign. I find it hard to imagine that after 11 years in Opposition the Labor Party is willing to continue campaigning the way it is.

  56. 256
    Darn Says:

    LTEP (255) I seem to recall the 2004 election campaign went for six weeks also.

  57. 257
    Scotty Says:

    Juts on the current polls in WA: they are, for the most part, noticably low. Either something is afoot in the West, or the polling methods are flawed. Both could be the case.

    In the last four elections, the WA vote was about 98% of the national 2PP for Labour. Right now, with the current polling from Newspoll in September, plus these Westpolls, showing the ALP 2PP well down, the WA vote is closer to 90% of the national poll average.

    Rudd may not need to go over there too much as long as NSW, Vic and QLD keep performing strongly as they have been, but he’s probably going to want to keep an eye on things. After all, there are 15 (out of 151) seats over there, and at least 6 of them are within range of either of either party.

    My analysis shows a likely gain of 3, maybe 5 seats: Hasluck, Stirling and Canning, and maybe Curtin or Kalgoorlie.

  58. 258
    Scotty Says:

    Sorry, that should be “just”…

  59. 259
    imacca Says:

    to 251 Darn;

    No mate, that was from the last Newspoll Quarterly.

    But, the ALP (Forces of Light and Goodness, henceforth FoLG) got 37.4% of the primary in NSW on Oct 9 2004.

    If FoLG get 44% of the primary this year that would be a swing of 6.6%.

    H’mmmm, Some of the Forces of Decrepit Deceit and Despair, henceforth FoDDD), may find themselves put to rout at that what??

    A 9.6% swing would mean a FoLG primary vote of 47%. Now on the latest ACN poll, they were UP from 47 to 48 nationally.

    I have a few jitters, but I’m not worried too much at the moment.

  60. 260
    imacca Says:

    Scotty, are you serious about Curtin a possible ALP gain?? I thought the Rabbit/Headlights One was pretty safe there??

  61. 261
    Lose the election please Says:

    Julie Bishop would seem pretty safe, unless the ’small l’ Liberals really are leaving the Coalition.

    The seat does have a lot of students in it (and my sister!) but I wouldn’t imagine it to be at any risk at all.

  62. 262
    imacca Says:

    Much as i would love to see it, i cant believe that Curtin would go. If the Forces of Decrepit Deceit and Despair ever lose Curtin then it could only mean that they are a left as merely a rump in parliament.

    If that happened, then their most senior member of parliament may well be Wilson Tuckey!!! No, laughing to hard at that!!!

  63. 263
    steve Says:

    What’s behind Howard’s lacklustre polling this year.

    http://thepipingshrike.blogspot.com/2007/10/chance-to-break-rules.html

  64. 264
    Kina Says:

    Rudd can actually win this campaign and increase his vote. He needs to look back to when he was miles ahead and understand why. He was visionary, talking about the future, preparing for the future and no negative stuff. He was not trying to tell the people why Howard was no good but why he was a better choice. New Leadership maybe.

    There are only two areas where the negative stuff will work for Labor at the moment.

    The negative stuff won’t work too well for the LNP either as each time they go negative it reinforces in people’s minds their mean spirited and cynical nature. Costello thought he was being clever the other day, but that sort of thing simply goes against him. Denigrating the opposition doesn’t work. The problem for them is that most people are so familiar with them and can read them like a book.

    I hindsight Labor should have muddied the air with something as soon as the Govt released its tax policy. Not that anybody cared too much about the tax - but to detract from the image they were making for themselves.

  65. 265
    Gary Bruce Says:

    Last week will be a distant memory by Wednesday if not earlier. Rudd has a very good story to tell and it will be told. He has started the story with the tax policy. Time to move on.

  66. 266
    Gary Bruce Says:

    Labor’s primary vote did not move (ignoring Morgan - doesn’t everyone). The Libs gained nothing from those supporting Labor even after their big blockbuster tax policy. Not a good omen for the next 5 weeks for them.

  67. 267
    BMWofVictoria Says:

    I love this quote from Shaun Carney from the Age

    ‘But there are five weeks to go, which means for most voters that they’ve got four weeks to go before they need to take any notice of the campaign.’

  68. 268
    Kina Says:

    It will be interesting to see what tactics Rudd applies from here on. We assume, given the tactics during the year, that it will be something well thought out.

    Something a bit smarter than Costello holding a press conference to release an anti-union ad campaign. Nice way to prove Rudd’s point Peter.

  69. 269
    Lose the election please Says:

    Gary Bruce, the interesting thing about the Morgan was that the Coalition primary vote did not move. So in one we had Labor’s going up and another the Coalition’s not moving. We’ve got this Westpoll. They all tell different stories.

    Also a thing that the Morgan phone poll indicated was the idea of ‘win expectations’ may be playing into the vote. The drop in 2PP in that vote was similar to the drop in ‘think will win’. Win expectations may also factor into general approval ratings, since people may have answered he’s not doing his job properly since they fluffed the beginning of their campaign.

    As always, we can never know the full story behind any poll.

  70. 270
    Ed the Pseph Says:

    Interesting scenario if the state and marginal seat polls by PMR for the westpoll are both correct, with a statewide swing to the ALP of at least 4 percent, but for swings to Liberal in 3 of the marginals.

    A net gain of Cowan for the Libs could well be offset by a surprise loss somewhere else. Labor leaked polling showing Gray doubling the margin in Brand. Forrest could end up a four way go with a stack of money going on the independent candidate. There have been murmers that Canning will experience a significant swing to Labor, but I haven’t seen any polling leaked as to how close it is.

    It is so hard to tell what would be happening in Kalgoorlie other than by elimination of other seats from the broader state polling. Labor will win votes over broadband here in the Kimberley. Unfortunately for them it is Law time for many Aboriginal people in the Pilbara, so they will miss out on some votes there. Applying the national swing to Kalgoorlie is as good a method as any for anyone guessing where it might be five weeks out.
    The Greens vote in Kalgoorlie should be a bit higher this time as well.

  71. 271
    Nuts in K Says:

    There has been a lot of concern expressed in this thread about these polls in WA. The key to conducting a poll is to ensure that yo get sufficient representation in your target demographics to be able to accurately weight the results.

    In many respects this is dependent on the resources that the commissioning entity is prepared to put into th poll. The interesting statistic that is never provided in these reports is the number of calls that are terminated because the target did not fit the demographic sought. I suspect the Westpoll surveys have fairly low terminations, which would help explain the inconsistency etween successive polls.

    Recently I was polled (not in WA) where I was asked for the male in the house closest to 18. Unfortunately we need to go back to Gough’s “It’s Tome” election victory for that to me. I suggested to the caller the person who satisfied that description wouldn’t spend his time answering questions, so they went through them with me. I wonder how valid that survey was.

  72. 272
    James J Says:

    ALP candidate for Maranoa has stood down

    http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,22622110-5005961,00.html

  73. 273
    John Rocket Says:

    85 Lab/65 Lib - I’m not going to say anything more… except.. Sean is ok! Ida Ciao! :) too drunk!

  74. 274
    Nuts in K Says:

    On the question of the tactics so far it is question why the Liberals have so strongly focussed on union domination of the ALP. Is it because the Crosby/Textor research suggests its a strong issue or could it relate o another factor.

    Recently Possum posted an analysis of the purpose behind the “climate clever” campaign. I suspect there is a similar byproduct purpose behind the union official ads. Perhaps it is a positioning to limit the effect of union sponsored anti-workchoices advertising. It is setting up in advance a negative perception of union officials, without directly attacking them. To some extent labor complaints about negative advertising reinforce that.

    When the campaign about Workchoice kicks in the objective will be to make people think that the union officials are seeking to preserve their positions and their base rather than having the focus on the effect on working indviduals, which has been so powerful.

    If this is the case then it suggests that the Liberals are very concerned about the effect of workchoices and th voting intentions of the electorate.

  75. 275
    Frank Calabrese Says:

    No wonder Howard was upset with the Chaser.

    [SIR Don Bradman will have a cricket hall of fame built in his honour under a $6.5 million Federal Government initiative.

    Prime Minister John Howard today is expected to announce funding for two galleries, including a shrine to showcase cricket from 1970 onwards, to be built in Sir Donald’s home town of Bowral in the NSW Southern Highlands, New Limited reports today.]

    http://www.news.com.au/perthnow/story/0,21598,22622112-5005361,00.html

  76. 276
    Peter of Scarpat Says:

    I think it is most appropriate that John Howard funds the Don Bradman Hall of Fame - Don Bradman’s batting average is identical to John Howard’s IQ…

  77. 277
    ShowsOn Says:

    [Prime Minister John Howard today is expected to announce funding for two galleries, including a shrine to showcase cricket from 1970 onwards, to be built in Sir Donald’s home town of Bowral in the NSW Southern Highlands, New Limited reports today.]

    This is quite amusing considering Bradman opposed World Series Cricket.

  78. 278
    zedder Says:

    Despite what many people have been saying, we have been getting lots of Labor TV ads here in Leichardt (Cairns). Mainly they have been the ones where Kevin shows off the place where he grew up. In contrast the Libs have only shown a few of the L plate ads in the first couple of days of the campaign. If this sort of imbalance keeps up, it will only emphasize the lack of money that the LNP have. Speaking of the NP in LNP, the Nationals haven’t run an ad yet despite the candidate being a wealthy businessman. He must have decided it was too much of a bad investment.

  79. 279
    mate Says:

    Great, now I gotta go find out some bloody batsmans batting (says that 3 times really fast) average. ;-)

  80. 280
    Boll Says:

    99.94 Mate

  81. 281
    Scotty Says:

    #
    260
    imacca Says:
    October 20th, 2007 at 10:47 pm

    Scotty, are you serious about Curtin a possible ALP gain?? I thought the Rabbit/Headlights One was pretty safe there??

    Yep. In my calculations, I have it as the fourth most likely seat to fall if the swing is big enough. Mind you, I’m using pure statistics, not taking into account local issues or weighting for a given candidate.

  82. 282
    BMWofVictoria Says:

    Nothin wrong with Bradman’s batting average, 99.94 is outstanding by any test

    Curtin falling okay this will be filed under wishful thinking or nasal gazing.

    Julie Bishop will hold on Primaries, she is one frontbencher I would vote for.

  83. 283
    Pi Says:

    # 279 mate Says: October 21st, 2007 at 12:48 am

    Great, now I gotta go find out some bloody batsmans batting (says that 3 times really fast) average. ;-)

    Isn’t this one part of the citizenship test? 99.94. Out for a duck in his final innings.

  84. 284
    Melbcity Says:

    In order to maximise your campaign dollar the earl;y weeks are fort on the ground in the electorate. There is no real again in the first week of an campiagne the momentum build up with most undecided swinging voters deciding which way they will vote in the last two weeks of then campaign. you let the government come out with what you expect them to say.. “We are doing well. look at the record on the board, why risk the unknown”.. “blah blah blah”.. by the end of the second week the government is looking tied,. The opposition comes out with the rebuttal and by the time the government responds the message is out there and the government is on the back foot. Then comes the knockout blow in the last weeks. Problem with Latham was he never really came out fighting and had nothing left in the last week where the match was decided.

    If the opposition come out too strong then they become the target not the government. A long haul distance runner does not use up all their energy in the first Km, They wait for the pace to be set by their competition then they keep pace and when they tire then pump out the extra energy to strive forward.

  85. 285
    Amused Says:

    ” #282

    Curtin falling okay this will be filed under wishful thinking or nasal gazing.”

    ‘nasal gazing’? Is that what NostrilDamus does?

  86. 286
    Mick Quinlivan Says:

    Curtin …. despite it’s name this seat is not likely to vote labor ever
    maybe a good independent candidate in the right circumstances could
    win…… Nedlands & Peppermint Grove are like Sydney’s Double Bay

  87. 287
    Gary Bruce Says:

    Melbcity - right on the money. It’s called strategy.

  88. 288
    ifonly Says:

    To complain that seats are not following the state trend is like complaining that states are not following the national trend.

    In elections, each party tries to paint itself and its opponents in certain light.

    The coalition is painting Rudd as L plate, “Me to” and Union controlled.

    Rudd failed his first big decision, he has been saying for months he had a tax plan that he was going to release in the election. Instead of going with whatever that plan was, he went “me to”……reinforcing the Coalition’s positioning of him.

    He can’t really counter the L plate
    He has failed to counter the union control
    His adds say he has a plan without details

    I suspect the Coalition will have another big announcement next week eg health. If he responds with ‘me too” he is gone. Comedians are already joking about it and there is a risk that it becomes how people view him.

    Also, Labor needs to characterise the Coalition in a certain light.

    Recent polls tend to support the idea of Labor “soft vote” but time will tell.

  89. 289
    Don Wigan Says:

    55 Oakeshott

    I think there’s probably a reasonable explanation. The Oz no doubt intended to run with Steven Kaye’s report, but somehow it got mixed up with the SMH one.

    Steven, I think they need you soon back at Lib H/Q to re-interpret their internal polling. Morale and all that.

    Still, nice to have you here for a little while.

  90. 290
    Ryano Says:

    Hahah! Curtin is not going red, the Libs could put an old world monkey on the ballot and still get over the line there.
    Another drop of Chardonnay?

  91. 291
    Greeensborough Growler Says:

    BMW,

    All this nasal gazing and you will really get up my nose.

  92. 292
    Don Wigan Says:

    [we aren’t irresponsible fiscal managers like the ALP…] Glen

    LOL! The Mersey Hospital Pork showed us all about Liberal “responsible fiscal management”. Though you’re right, it’s not like ALP.

  93. 293
    jack Says:

    Well lets just take a look at labor with truth not spin , ok gillard comes out today in the telegraph (but not published by the abc ontv or channel 10/ 7 ,of course they are in cahoots ) and puts on the sad story of how she was conned by her union boyfriend to setting up accounts to put stoled funds in which by the way by her own admission ,recieved by threatening the people concerned with industrial action ,well if you believe she didnt know what he was up to when she was that close to him you would believe anything ,next we have the wa union guy coming out and saying gillard and rudd lied and made a deal for 400,000 ,well he should know he is one of their cronnies ,then we have the tapes in the vic police scandal that has also implicated bracks ,and a hitman ,and the union boss who tells just how they really run things .well after reading that and there is more to come ,the picture is very clear about unions ,gillard ,and spin doctor rudd ! add to that rudd voted against all the policies that he now agrees with ,which wont matter anyway as the union has already made the deals on policies according to them ,so what a joke this is to run a goverment ,and if your still a little unsure about labor ability lookat nsw ,is there a bigger mess ? i dont think so !and gillard to run industrial relations is an even bigger joke going on her own past performance .

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