Peter Brent at Mumble tells me that I have tipped Labor to win 29 seats from 47, which I had never bothered to tally up before. Make it 30 – a quarter of an hour from the close of polls, be it noted that I have also thrown in Newland. A Labor insider quoted in The Australian today expressed amazement that the Liberals have been "doing f..k all" in the electorate – I can only speculate what the missing two letters might have been. That leaves 15 for the Liberals, one independent (Bob Such to be returned in Fisher) and one Nationals (Karlene Maywald to be returned in Chaffey).